At last Notts finally made the kind of start to a game we've all been waiting for and when Jimmy Knowles calmly volleyed home on 11 minutes you could be forgiven for getting just a little bit carried away with thoughts of a comfortable victory.
However, as the game progressed Notts somehow managed to regress as old habits came back to haunt them. 3-4-3 became a deep lying 5-2-3 inviting unnecessary pressure with two poorly defended set pieces the Magpies undoing.
Match stats below and somehow Notts are left to rue missed chances.
Progress updated.
Results tracker updated now with a line that provides another visualisation for progress throughout the season based on 'win' = 2, 'draw' = 1 and 'loss' = -1.
Points needed now with adjusted targets to represent predicted points totals for the current season. Following the Solihull defeat Notts are still projected to finish in a play-off place. You can filter the chart by clicking on the legends at the top.
League segment chart updated. Grey bar shows total points available for that segment. Green bar shows total points gained and yellow bar the PPG for that segment.
The defeat at Dover is still included in this visual (matches 1-6). No points yet for the first two games in this 6 game segment.
Points by time segment. How many points would have been accumulated if games had finished at 15, 30, 45, 60, 75 and 90 minutes.
Onto player stats now and remember you can use the search function to see individual players or click on a column heading to sort highest to lowest etc.
Minutes played updated:
Goal contribution table updated. Again, you can find this on the website and sort columns etc.
Goal participation by minute detailing player goal contribution efficiency.
Goals scatter chart updated. Starting to see a few more dots outside the box.
Goals by time segment updated.
Onto xG for the Solihull match and despite looking like they had retreated back into their shells not Notts actually had 3 very big chances including the goal.
Breakdown below of the key xG stats and despite the final score line Notts had the big chances and based on this should have easily won the game.
Player xG stats below and Kyle Wootton and Ruben Rodrigues maybe should have done better.
Ian Burchnall's record updated.
Preview | Eastleigh (h) | Vanarama National League | 12.30
Saturday 17th April 2021 | Meadow Lane
Eastleigh are the visitors on Saturday for a game that will now kick off at 12.30pm.
Notts cannot afford many more defeats if they are to ensure a play off spot and with back to back defeats in the last two outings a win and 3 valuable points are very much needed.
Eastleigh themselves will be harbouring aspirations of sneaking into the play off's but with just one win in the last 6 outings they will be keen to get something out of the game. This could of course be to Notts' advantage should the play become open as both teams look to be on the offensive.
Recent form radar and the key marker is Notts' home form which is now the third worse in the league.
Goals for/against by time segment for Eastleigh.
Lead status comparison. Up until a few weeks ago Notts' trailing average was consistently under 10 minutes per match. Now it is nearly 20 mins per match.
Despite back to back defeats bookies have Notts clear favourites for the home win with 5/6 currently about the best you'll find.
You can get up to 18/5 on an Eastleigh win and 5/2 for the draw.
Based on these odds Notts have a 57% chance of winning and Eastleigh a 22% chance of taking home the three points.
This is the first of two games against the Spitfires in 10 days with the original away fixture postponed because of the pandemic and rescheduled for Tuesday 27th April.
Hopefully we see a reaction similar to the first 20 minutes played at Solihull but maybe for a larger part of the game this time!
COYP!
Richard