Stats Report | Colchester (a) | League Two

Published: 02/10/2023 21:25

Author: Richard Ogando

Score 4 goals away from home, get told off! The 'goals' pendulum doesn't swing much further than it does for Notts County at the moment where their last two games have seen a total of 16 goals with goals for and goals conceded are shared in equal amounts.

Saturdays defeat at Colchester was one of those games where the data clearly suggests Notts should have come away comfortable winners, but a combination of unforced errors and unexpected worldies saw the U's come out on top.

I've decided to replace the radar in the top right of the dashboard for 100% stacked bar chart as I feel this provides a little more context. If there is one stand out stat from this game it's the wing play with Notts recording 46 crosses compared to just 5 from Colchester.

Additionally the xG for Notts of 3.54 is by far the highest they have recorded in the first 10 league games of this season and based on the xG data in general the likelihood of Notts winning this game came out at over 70% suggesting Luke Williams' men might consider themselves unfortunate to come away from Essex empty handed.

Chilvers goal from Stones mislaid pass was a low value 0.05 xG, as was Read's long range effort, Colchester's 5th. On another day those goals don't go in and Notts leave victorious. That said Jodi Jones' goal was a mere 0.04 xG, however it was the close range finishes by Langstaff and Austin that helped to boost the xG for Notts. That said Langstaff, McGoldrick and Cameron all spurned big chances.

Swindon up next for Notts on Tuesday night and you can't see past another goal fest. Swindon, along with Mansfield are yet to lose in the league this season but they are also the leagues top scorers with 26 goals from their opening ten games. With the last two Notts games being 4:3 and 5:4 respectively what chance a 6:5 score line on Tuesday night, if it can happen anywhere it will happen at Notts, hold on tight for another white knuckle ride!